MLB DFS Game-by-Game Projections, Picks, and Analysis 8/2: Dodgers at Giants

Publish date: 2024-05-05

The MLB DFS picks, MLB DFS cheat sheet, and MLB DFS projections for DraftKings & FanDuel in the RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis of the upcoming MLB schedule forTuesday, August 2. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on how you can build stacks in the RotoGrinders MLB optimizer – LineupHQ. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, projected ownership, rankings, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

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BLUE – One of the top stacks of the slate.
GREEN – A full stack is viable in GPPs.
YELLOW – Not the best stack, but hitters are in play.
ORANGE – Tread lightly, but potentially target a hitter or two.
RED – Fade this offense in all formats.

LAD vs. SFG

MLB DFS Analysis: Tyler Anderson (LHP | -150)

8900DK (17.80% of cap) /9000FD (25.71% of cap) / 45 Y (25.71%of cap)
Baseball Stats Overview for DFS
ProjectionsProj.Statcast MetricsStats
PlateIQ DK Proj.15.60Exit Velocity86.40
PlateIQ FD Proj.30.20EV Percentile12
PlateIQ Y Proj.17.43Barrel %7.20%
DK Pts$1.75Barrel Percentile42
FD Pts$3.36Statcast Hard%31.70%
Y Pts$3.87Hard% Percentile14
See More Stats Made Simple for LAD vs. SFG: Try PlateIQ Premium!
MLB DFS Split Stats (2020-2022)
Key Stats vs. LProj.Key Stats vs. RStats
Games48.00Games48.00
Expected L2.00Expected R7.00
xFIP L4.27xFIP R4.35
K/9 L6.82K/9 R7.44
BB/9 L1.63BB/9 R1.91
GB/FB L1.16GB/FB R0.78
HR/9 L0.74HR/9 R1.29
Hard% L25.50%Hard% R28.50%
See More Stats Made Simple for LAD vs. SFG: Try PlateIQ Premium!

Tyler Anderson is having a stellar season, and he’ll get a nice park bump going into Oracle to face the Giants tonight. Anderson’s 3.82 SIERA is calling for regression on his 2.61 ERA, and he’s still only striking out about 21% of opposing hitters. The Giants (27.6%) are striking out a ton against LHPs right now, though, and injuries have left them looking rather barren offensively. $8,900 on DK and $9,000 on FD is still more than I want to pay for Anderson in general, but he’s playable in GPPs thanks to the matchup.

Quick Breakdown: He’s a bit pricey, but still a fine spot for Anderson.

MLB DFS Analysis: (LHP | 127)

7600DK (15.20% of cap) /7400FD (21.14% of cap) / 38 Y (21.14%of cap)
Baseball Stats Overview for DFS
PlateIQ CategoryProj.Statcast MetricsStats
PlateIQ DK Proj.13.87Exit Velocity89.00
PlateIQ FD Proj.27.13EV Percentile46
PlateIQ Y Proj.15.66Barrel %5.50%
DK Pts$1.83Barrel Percentile23
FD Pts$3.67Statcast Hard%39.70%
Y Pts$4.12Hard% Percentile55
See More Stats Made Simple for LAD vs. SFG: Try PlateIQ Premium!
MLB DFS Split Stats (2020-2022)
Key Stats vs. LProj.Key Stats vs. RStats
Games46.00Games48.00
Expected L2.00Expected R7.00
xFIP L2.88xFIP R3.50
K/9 L8.84K/9 R9.63
BB/9 L1.89BB/9 R2.57
GB/FB L2.70GB/FB R1.68
HR/9 L0.63HR/9 R1.04
Hard% L15.60%Hard% R31.30%
See More Stats Made Simple for LAD vs. SFG: Try PlateIQ Premium!

A matchup with the Dodgers would normally be enough to make an easy fade, but he’s a decent enough pitcher with an affordable enough salary on DK ($7,600). I think the presence of alternatives like Syndergaard, Wainwright, and Giolito make Wood wholly unnecessary if you’re scared of the opponent, but the LA offense hasn’t been quite as prolific against left-handed pitching this season. I think Wood is someone you can still mix into your GPP plans at very low ownership on DK.

Quick Breakdown: Far from a perfect spot, but I don’t mind a dusting in DK GPPs.

MLB DFS Cheat Sheet:LAD Batting

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryDK/FD ProjBaseline ISO (L/R)Baseline wOBABarrel%
610044008.77 / 11.370.252 / 0.2430.368 / 0.3568.80%
590043009.02 / 11.420.244 / 0.1810.381 / 0.3277.90%
600044008.42 / 10.850.217 / 0.230.37 / 0.3911.20%
Will Smith530036007.94 / 10.390.233 / 0.2290.357 / 0.34910.90%
250021006.3 / 7.820.123 / 0.1090.286 / 0.2744.00%
300023006 / 7.790.231 / 0.2280.292 / 0.319.70%
430026006.51 / 8.60.246 / 0.2160.334 / 0.3315.20%
240021005.48 / 7.140.144 / 0.140.287 / 0.2844.80%
360028005.45 / 6.940.145 / 0.1990.262 / 0.317.50%
Break down every LAD vs. SFGhitter in seconds: Try PlateIQ Premium

The Dodgers are yet another “stack every night” offense in a subpar spot against a good pitcher tonight. Wood does have a wide platoon split, however, which bodes better for , Will Smith, and than it does for and . LA’s 4.37 total is still low by their standards, and this is still a pitcher-friendly park.

Optimal Plays – , , Will Smith

Secondary Plays – ,

Stackability – YELLOW

MLB DFS Cheat Sheet:SFG Batting

PlayerDK SalaryFD SalaryDK/FD ProjBaseline ISO (L/R)Baseline wOBABarrel%
360026008.45 / 10.870.25 / 0.1430.364 / 0.28311.70%
350025008.77 / 11.110.179 / 0.1320.359 / 0.31310.00%
240024008.21 / 10.450.219 / 0.1750.337 / 0.3187.10%
420029007.55 / 9.650.19 / 0.1810.319 / 0.3186.20%
Brandon Belt320025007.28 / 9.460.196 / 0.2510.318 / 0.34616.10%
260023006.21 / 7.910.16 / 0.1090.308 / 0.2766.10%
200022005.82 / 7.4NANA0.00%
270021005.68 / 7.20.172 / 0.1430.275 / 0.2728.60%
300027006.15 / 7.80.196 / 0.1990.296 / 0.32210.30%
Break down every LAD vs. SFGhitter in seconds: Try PlateIQ Premium

The Giants have a 3.8 total tonight against Anderson, a good pitcher with a pretty good bullpen behind him. and typically profile pretty well against left-handed pitching, but this is just not a good spot for what is a pretty bad offense these days. With tons of alternatives out there, I don’t see much need for any of this tonight.

Optimal Plays – None

Secondary Plays – , ,

Stackability – ORANGE / RED

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